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Ashdown in Financial Times Saturday Oct 25 2003. All times are London time.
By John-Paul Flintoff Published: October 24 2003
A man walks into a crowded room in Sarajevo. He takes his place at the head of a long table, alongside a young woman interpreter. "Forgive me if I start with a bit of nostalgia," says Paddy Ashdown, former leader of Britain's Liberal Democrats.
"One of the events that changed my life was coming to this city for the first time in July '92. After that, I made it a habit to come twice a year during the siege and to stay for a week. People used to say to me, 'Why?' People said I was the 'Member of Parliament for Sarajevo'.
I was heavily criticised, I was insulted and called a warmonger because I was calling for action. I was criticised for paying more attention to the problems of Bosnia Hercegovina than the problems in Britain. And people said, 'Why?'"
The answer, he explains, is that Sarajevo seemed to him to possess a vibrant intellectual and cultural life that the international community, in its ignorance, was allowing to be crushed. A spirit of tolerance that was defended most vigorously, Ashdown says, by the people in this room - who include a former president of Yugoslavia, an ex-prime minister of Bosnia, a one-time ambassador to the US, professors of economics and philosophy and an actor from the national theatre.
They're members of Circle 99, a liberal Bosnian discussion group, and many of them led the city through the desperate months of bombardment from Serb positions in the surrounding hills, while the international community presented a spectacle of impotence: unwilling to intervene with enough force to stop the killing and the "ethnic cleansing", not just in Sarajevo but all over Bosnia. But since the war these liberals have become marginalised.
If they seem hostile this evening that's because, eight years later, they feel disappointed by the lack of progress in postwar Bosnia and neglected by Ashdown, foremost representative of the international community still running the country.
Most of all, they disapprove of his willingness to work with the less liberal types favoured by voters as he works to bring peace, democracy and economic development to a country where the people hated each other, and still do.
"I say all that for one reason," Ashdown continues, fidgeting with a gold pen while his words are gradually translated. "We will no doubt speak bluntly tonight - you to me, and maybe me to you. Let me start off in that spirit by saying I arrived back here 18 months ago.
The dynamism and cultural and intellectual life had somehow not translated itself into political engagement. I was stunned by that. And the level of misunderstanding about what we are trying to achieve here was bewildering.
"The aim that I set myself when I arrived remains the same: to use my mandate to set this country irreversibly on the path to statehood and on to the path to Europe. My job is to get rid of my job. And I think that in trying to build the checks and balances of a European state we are on the right course."
The speech is greeted with silence and long faces. Then come the questions, more like angry lectures, about problems that have become acute since the war, while the world turned its attention elsewhere.
These include: unemployment, the dearth of international investment, a brisk trade in human traffic, illegal logging, poor dental services, the problems of returning refugees and the on-going failure to arrest suspected war criminals.
The speeches would have hit harder, one suspects, if the delivery were not slowed by the process of translation. Ashdown waits till everybody has finished - nearly two hours later - before responding. "I hope you will forgive me if I do not attempt to answer all your questions," he says, before replying to several speakers by name. His concluding remarks are conciliatory. "Let me say something about misunderstandings. I have read criticism [in the press] from some in this room in terms quite close to insult. You have said that my decisions would have been better if I had come to see you before. I plead guilty. The last year has been very busy, but this is certainly a group that I should have been to see."
The meeting ends with prolonged applause. For the interpreter.
Ever since Mark Anthony was dispatched from Rome to Egypt, talented and clever individuals have attempted to run other people's countries with variable results. Anthony fell in love with Cleopatra, went to war with Rome, committed suicide. Clive of India, charged with corruption, likewise killed himself. Maximilian, sent by the French to Mexico, ended up before a firing squad. General Macarthur is generally agreed to have made a decent fist of things in Japan after the second world war - but few have since emulated that success.
Today, intervention and how - or if - to do it is at the top of everyone's foreign affairs agenda. It convulses the domestic politics of the US and of Britain. At the United Nations, ambassadors could easily become dizzy discussing whether or not to invade dysfunctional territories such as Liberia, Afghanistan and Congo. What has tended to get less attention - at least, until Iraq spiralled into chaos this year - was how to piece together those shattered territories afterwards. But the work of Paddy Ashdown provides a useful case study.
His position as high representative for Bosnia Hercegovina was created under the Dayton Peace Agreement of December 1995, which recognised the rights of Serbs, Croats, Muslims - also known as Bosniaks - and others to live in the war-torn country. Dayton established Bosnia Hercegovina as a state comprising two "entities", each with a high degree of autonomy: the Republika Srpska, which is predominantly but not exclusively Serb; and the Federation, which is largely Muslim and Croat.
Each entity has its own rules: if you take a cab from Sarajevo airport into the old town and the main road is busy, drivers licensed by the Federation will stop the car here and there to conceal their "taxi" signs while passing through suburbs belonging to the Serb Republic. As things stand, the entities even have separate armies, customs and tax regimes.
But Dayton imposed strict ethnic quotas on both entities. Thus the police force in the Serb Republic is required to employ a certain proportion of Muslims, which isn't easy because few Muslims want to work there, not least because salaries are lower than in the Federation.
Even nationalist parties that did well in last year's elections, if they wish to fill their share of ministerial posts, may be obliged to appoint a party member from another ethnic group. The high representative's job is to tidy up this postwar arrangement by strengthening BH at state level. (The state has been hopelessly feeble - its annual budget of about E300m [£208m] is slightly less than the amount generated by ticket sales in the US for The Lion King.)
The high representative must overcome a vast array of firmly entrenched interests, helped only by the willingness of virtually all Bosnians to meet the entry requirements of Nato and the EU - both expect stable government at state level.
Ashdown will this month have completed three-quarters of his term as high representative. The job could possibly be extended, but that will of course depend on how well he has done.
He is no stranger to trouble spots. He was born in New Delhi, where his father was a colonel in the Indian Army, in 1941. An abiding memory is of passing slowly through a train station where the platform was littered with dead Hindus or Muslims (he could not tell which). When he was four, his family returned to Britain and bought a farm in another territory riven by sectarianism, Northern Ireland. But the venture failed financially and Ashdown remembers the tears running down his father's face as he informed the family - "the saddest day of my life," he says.
Between 1959 and 1972, he served in the Royal Marines: in Borneo in the jungle, and in Belfast on the streets. Rather than take a desk job in the army, he joined the Foreign Office. Posted to Geneva aged 31, he handled Britain's relations with various UN organisations and lived in a "massive" house on the shores of Lake Geneva, with plenty of time for sailing, skiing and climbing with his wife, Jane, and two children.
But in 1976 he packed it in and moved to his wife's hometown, Yeovil, determined to do something more meaningful. "I had a sense of purpose," he says, aware that this might sound pompous. (An old joke about Ashdown is that his answering machine invites callers to leave a message "after the high moral tone".)
Life in Somerset wasn't easy. He was twice unemployed and desperately hard up but he was determined to stand for parliament. "Most of my friends thought it was utterly bonkers." In 1983 he overturned a 10,000 Conservative majority to take Yeovil for the Liberals. Five years later he became party leader.
In June 1991, when the crisis in the former Yugoslavia started to blow up, Ashdown "didn't even know where all the countries were", according to his published diaries. But he was greatly interested - he says that's because he's always had a strong sense of himself as European and he became expert long before most outsiders in a position to intervene had decided that Bosnia was worth worrying about.
Reading the diaries it is impossible not to be impressed that Ashdown visited so often and in such dangerous conditions. It is also clear that he was once a soldier: few other British politicians, under fire, would write that the barrage consisted of "120mm and 81mm mortars, at a guess".
At the invitation of Radovan Karadzic, the psychiatrist who led the Bosnian Serbs and is now sought as a suspected war criminal, Ashdown also visited territory under Serb control. At subsequent war-crimes tribunals, witnesses stated that conditions at the Serb camps had been harsh until one day when a British MP - Ashdown - arrived with TV cameras, followed by the Red Cross. "I still regard this as the most useful day's work I have done in politics," Ashdown says.
Another Serbian war criminal told him when they met that he could take the besieged Sarajevo whenever he liked but, "if you are given the chance to kill an enemy or shoot his balls off, always shoot his balls off."
The late Croat leader, Franjo Tudjman, sat next to Ashdown at a dinner in London and sketched on the back of a menu a map showing how he intended to carve up Bosnia. And Ashdown met Slobodan Milosevic, the Serbian former Yugoslav president, several times; most recently at the Hague where he testified against him.
For all these reasons, Ashdown made a compelling choice as high representative. "The job came up not once but again and again. [Tony] Blair asked if I would allow my name to be put forward. I said no. I was still MP for Yeovil. I didn't believe in doing one job until I had finished another." Ashdown stood down as Liberal Democrat leader in 1999 and retired from the Commons in 2001. In 2000 he was asked to take over in Bosnia.
He agreed, and the appointment was ratified by the UN security council. Thus a man who spent a significant part of his career trying to get elected leader of his own country found himself in charge of somebody else's country, and without any electoral mandate.
On a sunny day in early autumn, Ashdown has come to Mostar, a predominantly Muslim and Croat city in the south, to launch a new initiative, a commission, chaired by a foreign diplomat charged with streamlining the city's expensive and inefficient government. (Hospitals routinely send patients to Sarajevo, three hours away, rather than to other hospitals in Mostar regarded as serving a rival ethnic group.)
The visit coincides with an important stage in the rebuilding of Mostar's symbolic bridge, a medieval masterpiece destroyed in hours in 1993. With Ashdown are his senior deputy high representative Werner Wnendt, who is a German diplomat, and Julian Braithwaite, Ashdown's director of communications.
They're here for a strategy meeting with Jacques Andrieu, the Frenchman recently appointed to run the high representative's Mostar office.
Ashdown's face has caught the sun. His previously reddish hair is now mostly grey and he's craggier than British voters may remember. In thoughtful moments, listening to others, he takes off his specs and dangles them from his mouth.
At other times he pushes them up his forehead to stare out from beneath them. Trying out a line for the press conference, he says: "This is a solemn week. We have a memorial to Srebrenica." (The massacre of more than 7,000 Bosniaks, in September 1995, finally led to decisive international intervention.) But one colleague advises against linking Mostar to Srebrenica, which is far away. "We will maybe lose more than we gain." Ashdown agrees. He tries another idea: "We are not just in the business of reconstructing buildings" - the famous bridge - "but men's minds."
Finally, he runs through the names of the politicians expected to sign the new agreement - even setting up the new commission requires a major signing ceremony. "Do I announce the names? Mirsad? Is that right? Jelko? Zhelko? Poo-bah-cha?" But Braithwaite, the spin-doctor, suggests there may be a problem with calling out names because somebody could be missing.
Soon after the strategy meeting, and a morale-boosting speech to staff, Ashdown paces out of the building, surrounded by security men muttering into microphones hidden in their cuffs. The assassination in August of Sergio de Mello, the UN man in Baghdad, is not the only reminder that Ashdown's job is potentially dangerous: this afternoon he will visit the Swedish embassy to sign a book of condolence for the murdered minister Anna Lindh. As he strides along, people look up from pavement cafes to say "Hello Paddy!" Three young women, walking towards him, break into giggles as he passes with a gruff "Hi!"
Arriving at his destination, Ashdown sweeps past the press photographers, up two flights of stairs and into a meeting room with a mile-long table surrounded by nervously smiling men in cheap suits. They take their places, ignoring the bottles of mineral water before them and the plastic ballpoints with which they will sign the agreement. A liberal party leader, Zlatko Lagumdzija of the SDP, has still not appeared, which could be disastrous - the SDP boycotted a previous commission on Mostar (with which Ashdown was not involved) and Lagumdzija blames Ashdown for failing to support moderates at the recent election.
Will he derail this commission too? No: he arrives just as the press and TV cameras are allowed in. "Hi!" says Ashdown jovially. "How are you, my friend?" inquires Lagumdzija. Everybody makes a speech. The deputy mayor, speaking last, affirms that he is truly a "great optimist". "You have to be," says Ashdown, "in this country. Thank you very much indeed. I don't think we could have got off to a better start. Perhaps now we could pass the folders." And the agreement is signed by one and all.
Meanwhile Braithwaite slouches in a corner seat, flicking through newspapers. The son of a career diplomat, he physically resembles the actor Rupert Graves. But his professional ability, manner and vocabulary owe rather more to the four years he recently spent at 10 Downing Street working alongside Alastair Campbell.
In fact, Braithwaite is not a New Labour man - he's a civil servant, on secondment from the Foreign Office. A spell in Belgrade led to him marrying a local woman and achieving fluency in Serbian (or Bosnian as it is called here). When Ashdown spoke to him about the job in Sarajevo, Braithwaite insisted that he must work on the same basis as Alastair Campbell worked for Blair: at the heart of the decision-making process. So he usually knows what's going on. Ashdown confirms this: "You know the phrase of Richelieu or whoever, when Metternich died? 'What can the old fox have meant by that?' Julian is brilliant at understanding why an event has taken place."
And despite the late arrival of Lagumdzija, Braithwaite was right to worry that Bosnian politicians might not show up. Fatima Leho, local representative of a Bosniak nationalist party, the SDA, has failed to materialise. Leaving the building when the ceremony is finished, Ashdown barks at a colleague scampering behind: "What is this SDA disappearance?" She replies: "I don't know, but it's not a good sign." Braithwaite, typically unruffled, plays it down. "The local bunch are headbangers," he tells me. "We hold the party as a whole to this agreement. I'm amazed that only one person decided not to come. That's good by local standards."
Among other commissions that Ashdown is setting up is one on defence. The idea is to knit together the two armies already run by the entities. In March, Nato's Bosnian peacekeeping force found plans in Banja Luka - headquarters of the Serb Republic - for an invasion of the Federation. "We used that to launch reforms," says Braithwaite.
"The stick was that they had been planning to invade each other, so a minister had to resign. The carrot is that, in principle, they can join Nato's Partnership for Peace, a waiting room for full membership. The professional military desperately wants that, and politicians want it too because it's respectable.
They will be able to tell citizens that they're delivering a normal country again." But the commission must resolve the all-important details to make this possible. "Compromise is a dirty word in this part of the world. It's seen as betrayal. It's very difficult to get to a position where no one gets everything but everyone gets something," says Braithwaite.
At a meeting on Bosnia's public broadcasting system, I see for myself how hellish it can be to achieve consensus. Twelve representatives, from three public broadcasters (State, Serb Republic and Federation) line up across the table from Ashdown, Braithwaite and Wnendt. Also present is a representative of the BBC, acting as consultant.
Ashdown opens the meeting with a robust warning. If the people gathered here don't make the changes that are necessary then Ashdown will make them himself. If they do it, that will be regarded as a plus when Bosnia applies to join the EU; if Ashdown does it, a minus. He says he's sorry to speak so bluntly but they must understand that just because he is handing over the process to them that does not mean he doesn't care about the outcome. Because he does. Then he leaves.
For the following hour, precisely none of the individual points in the draft law is discussed. Not one. Instead, there are speeches by politicians and broadcasters drawing attention to the deep divisions between them.
These divisions are more complicated than one might expect: parties from the various ethnic communities, predictably, have their own interests. For instance, the group from the Serb Republic would prefer to keep their own modest broadcasting infrastructure than share something better with the Federation.
But the ethnic groups are also divided among themselves. Politicians from both entities and at the state level agree that they deserve more respect from broadcasters. ("We are not savages!" says one.) The broadcasters, likewise, have shared interests: one points out that it's impossible to run a public broadcasting system if politicians, enraged by some piece of reporting, successfully and with impunity encourage citizens to withhold subscriptions.
Wnendt, the German diplomat, has a wonderfully dry sense of humour - but he brilliantly conceals this beneath a stiff, formal appearance and unflappable good manners. After each intemperate speech, relayed through headphones, he replies to the effect that these are interesting and valuable points which should be borne in mind as the process goes forward. Then yet another politician or broadcaster says, "If I may make one more point..." and proceeds to do so.
By the end of the meeting the BBC man looks shattered. He confides that this is "the second meeting from hell" that he has attended, out of a grand total of two meetings. I suspect that, like me, he finds it baffling that Bosnia's leaders can't just put their grudges behind them and concentrate on making progress.
But that specimen of "common sense" is perhaps too easily adopted by outsiders - and takes insufficient account of the widespread feeling that justice has not been done and atrocities have not been avenged.
Braithwaite, always optimistic, says brightly that the meeting went better than expected, because by the end the group had at least agreed to take the draft law as a subject for discussion at the next meeting.
Earlier this year, Ashdown was accused by the European Stability Initiative, a think-tank, of running Bosnia like the British Raj. He brushes that off: "I have been criticised more strongly than that before.
The thing that bothered me was not the language but that they didn't speak to us. Most of the things they criticised us for not doing we were doing already. But the questions that they ask are perfectly legitimate." Even if it's unfair to draw parallels with the Raj, Bosnia does resemble a colony. The mindset of its citizens is cripplingly dependent - and this could be the hardest thing to overcome.
"I'll give you an anecdote showing the attitude of people here. On my first night I was asked to give prizes in a football match. (I have stopped doing that now, because it's not my job to act like a president.) It had been a very bitterly fought game, and not every decision of the referee was accepted. So one man came up and said, 'What is the point of having you here, if you can't sack the referee?'"
Ashdown frequently acknowledges the urgent need to transfer power. "When I started I said we wanted to have a 'white dot' plan, because that is the last thing you see when you turn off the TV. We are setting up institutions and then closing our own departments. But I can't tell you when we will leave."
And who is taking over? Many - though not all -- Bosnian politicians serve merely as puppets for others whose criminal records, including war crimes, rule out an official role. With no local constituencies, representatives are appointed from party lists and make few direct appeals to voters. Ashdown, from the British political tradition, has made a good impression by talking to citizens, reports Sead Numanovic of Dnevni Avaz, Bosnia's bestselling daily paper. At press conferences, Bosnia's weaker politicians typically ramble, so press and TV reporters instead use Ashdown's more appealing soundbites. As a consequence - but also because of the fragmentary nature of Bosnia's community - Ashdown is twice as popular with voters as even the most favoured Bosnian politicians. Which, though gratifying for him, will do nothing to advance his stated intention of empowering the locals.
At a press conference launching a draft law on Bosnia's intelligence service, Ashdown takes care to lean far back in his chair so that he's out of the photos showing prime minister Adnan Terzic shaking hands with the Hungarian diplomat who chaired the intelligence commission. Afterwards, from his office upstairs, Braithwaite phones his counterpart in Terzic's office: "Tariq, it's Julian... Your prime minister did very well at the press conference. Should be pictures of him shaking hands with [Kalman] Kocsis on the front of tomorrow's papers."
But this calculated boosterism is undermined, at the press conference, by Terzic himself. Responding to queries from journalists clutching freshly distributed copies of the draft law, he says: "I wish to express my satisfaction and thanks for this. My information tells me that it was drafted to European standards and in compliance with democratic control... Unfortunately, you journalists have read this law before me so I can't answer your questions." Inevitably, somebody asks Ashdown: "High representative, how is it possible that the prime minister has seen this law only after journalists?"
An hour later, sitting in the prime minister's office across the river I'm expecting Terzic to be enraged about this embarrassment. But he appears to hold no grudge; and is no less enthusiastic about Ashdown than he is about smoking cigarettes - which is to say, a very great deal. Indeed, he compares Ashdown favourably with previous high representatives and hopes Ashdown will stay in Bosnia long enough to finish the job ("I would like him to remain for the next two years as my partner in closing down the office of high representative"). I'm puzzled by this unexpected goodwill until Braithwaite later tells me the prime minister had seen the draft law - though not perhaps the latest print-out - and only denied having seen it to distance himself publicly from Ashdown; with whom he does in fact get on well. Whatever the truth of the matter, it's clear that Bosnia's politicians are not altogether to be regarded as merely Ashdown's stooges and sidekicks.
Indeed, Terzic believes that Bosnians employed by the office of the high representative (OHR) don't want to lose their highly paid jobs. The average salary, in Bosnia, is about £1,800 a year. OHR staff earn much more. Even some diplomats, Terzic hints, don't want to finish the job in Bosnia because if they do they may be posted somewhere less congenial, such as Liberia. "It's much safer to work here." This may seem unlikely to outsiders, but many Bosnians believe it.
"One of the things I have done aggressively was 'Bosnianise' the OHR," says Ashdown. "We have kicked out a lot of the internationals." Roughly three-quarters of OHR staff are Bosnian, but none of the half-dozen people gathered at Ashdown's morning meeting. Today, the inner circle includes Wnendt, plus members of Ashdown's private office - a team that includes Braithwaite; head of the political department Ed Llewellyn, who used to work with Margaret Thatcher and Chris Patten; and Julian Astle from the Liberal Democrats.
On Ashdown's large desk there are two trays: an 'In' tray and, less predictably, an 'Ian' tray, which is for his personal adviser, Ian Patrick. The walls are decorated with a map of Bosnia and political cartoons relating to Ashdown's previous life.
After diary announcements, Braithwaite reads out newspaper headlines relating to yesterday's work in Mostar. "Ashdown will not allow domination of the majority," says one. Ashdown asks: "That report is fairly straight?" "Very much," says Braithwaite. "And the SDA doesn't figure at all. It only says that Fatima didn't show." Ashdown wants to know what the SDA's party leader says. This time Wnendt replies: "They're going to talk to her. This confirms that there is a difference between those in Mostar [Braithwaite's "headbangers] and those who are here."
Ashdown: "We had a report from [Alija] Izetbegovic [a former Bosnian president] that he is in favour. Julian, can you find some subterranean way to get that out into the press?" Braithwaite: "I think it might be wise not to brief Izetbegovic." "He briefs me!" "But we have European standards." "Well, it would be nice if this fact got out there somehow."
Julian Astle once said that working for Ashdown was like being the Chinese student who stood in front of the tanks at Tiananmen Square. Ian Patrick talks about "hard-hat days". "I caught him saying that to Jane one day," Ashdown admits. "I can be unbelievably rude, for what I think is incompetence. I can get impatient, but my staff will say, 'You're wrong, Paddy.' In this country, in this extraordinary job, you get crises coming 10 to a box. You deal with issues of a sort that will not often come up anywhere else. And they all end up with me. So it can be quite nerve-wracking."
The BBC journalist-turned-politician, Martin Bell, in his new book Through Gates of Fire, describes visiting Ashdown in Sarajevo. Ashdown told Bell there can be such a thing as too much democracy. "When wars end, the west believes that what these countries need first and foremost is immediate and abundant elections: just wave the magic wand of democracy and set the people free to elect their own, and all will be well. Look at what we did here," says Ashdown. "We held elections all over the place and as soon as we could, for all levels of government. What we should have done was put law and order first. Once that is in place you have the foundations for a real democracy." As Bell comments, the same mistake has been made in Iraq. "Liberation without law and order is not much of an achievement. It merely replaces tyranny with anarchy."
"I'm a great UN supporter," says Ashdown, "but we need to know what the UN can do and can't do. One thing it can't do is fight wars. But it has a role after the legal war, if there is such a thing, in constructing the legal peace. This is one of the world's great growth industries. We have become extremely good at fighting these short, high-tech wars. But we are not so good at fighting what Kipling calls the 'bitter war of peace'. We are manifestly not very good at this. We need to make this something like a science. I have argued that we need a kind of college to pass on the knowledge. A soldier has to make a gearshift from being in hot pursuit and a killing machine to being almost a policeman. To do that, they need to be trained. The British solder is like that, after long practice. The American is not. But I'm not blaming them."
In every aspect of his work, Ashdown provides a model either to be followed or rejected in Iraq. But he's reluctant to discuss the situation outside Bosnia. "I do not allow myself the luxury of an opinion [on Iraq] because that would make my job more difficult. But I would say that you should beware of lightly and easily commenting. Look at Europe in the late 1940s: could you ever have believed those nations would get together?"
The University of Lausanne, he says, has shown that crimes against individuals are no more common in Bosnia than in Switzerland. "We have freedom of movement, less violence in elections than in the Basque country or Northern Ireland, and a stable currency. But if you looked at this place in the 10th week after the war it looked like a complete disaster. There were Serbs digging up their dead in Sarajevo, and Croat houses burning down. The world was full of wiseacres making judgments."
John-Paul Flintoff is contributing editor of the FT Magazine
john-paul.flintoff@ft.com
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